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Влияние санкций 2014-2015 года на российскую экономику
| курсовые работы, Экономика Объем работы: 28 стр. Год сдачи: 2015 Стоимость: 500 руб. Просмотров: 338 | Не подходит работа? |
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I. Introduction 4
1.1 Introduction 4
1.2 Statement of the Problem 4
1.3 Aim and Objectives of the Research 5
1.4 Chapter Conclusion 6
II. Review of Key Literature 7
2.1. Introduction 7
2.2. Definition of Sanctions and their Effectiveness 7
2.3. Main Influence of Sanctions 8
2.4. Russian-Ukrainian crisis and Sanctions 8
2.5. Chapter Conclusion 9
III. Research Methodology 11
3.1. Introduction 11
3.2. Main Methods 11
3.3. Main Tools for Data Analysis 12
3.4. Chapter Conclusion 12
IV. Data Description and Analysis 14
4.1. Introduction 14
4.2. Description of Data on Sanctions’ Effectiveness 14
4.3. Analysis of Sanctions’ Effectiveness 22
4.4. Chapter Conclusion 23
V. Discussion and Conclusion 24
5.1. Introduction 24
5.2. Summary of the findings 24
5.3. Managerial implications 25
5.4. Main limitations and direction for further research 25
5.5. Chapter Conclusion 26
Bibliography 27
1.1 Introduction 4
1.2 Statement of the Problem 4
1.3 Aim and Objectives of the Research 5
1.4 Chapter Conclusion 6
II. Review of Key Literature 7
2.1. Introduction 7
2.2. Definition of Sanctions and their Effectiveness 7
2.3. Main Influence of Sanctions 8
2.4. Russian-Ukrainian crisis and Sanctions 8
2.5. Chapter Conclusion 9
III. Research Methodology 11
3.1. Introduction 11
3.2. Main Methods 11
3.3. Main Tools for Data Analysis 12
3.4. Chapter Conclusion 12
IV. Data Description and Analysis 14
4.1. Introduction 14
4.2. Description of Data on Sanctions’ Effectiveness 14
4.3. Analysis of Sanctions’ Effectiveness 22
4.4. Chapter Conclusion 23
V. Discussion and Conclusion 24
5.1. Introduction 24
5.2. Summary of the findings 24
5.3. Managerial implications 25
5.4. Main limitations and direction for further research 25
5.5. Chapter Conclusion 26
Bibliography 27
After the beginning of Russian-Ukrainian crisis (since 2014) Weste
countries imposed political, economic and financial sanctions against Russia and its officials. In the paper, the author’s main aim is to examine the impact of those sanctions on Russia’s economy. In particular, the paper will analyze changes in certain levels and sectors of the economy, such as capital markets, inte
ational trade and macroeconomic indicators.
The author plans to start by analyzing different examples of countries that were imposed by sanctions, then briefly outline the main events of the conflict simultaneously with the stages of imposition of sanctions from both Europe and the United States.
After the theoretical research, the author then proceeds to empirical analysis. Specifically, the World Bank Report on Russia as well as other official sources should be analyzed in order to find the differences in macro indexes before and after sanctions. In order to get reliable data the impact of sanctions and other global variable (such as oil price changes, economy recession etc.) should be distinguished.
In conclusion, a clear picture of the impact of sanctions on the Russian economy based on empirical data should be found out and evaluation of this method of pressure on the country should be done.
countries imposed political, economic and financial sanctions against Russia and its officials. In the paper, the author’s main aim is to examine the impact of those sanctions on Russia’s economy. In particular, the paper will analyze changes in certain levels and sectors of the economy, such as capital markets, inte
ational trade and macroeconomic indicators.
The author plans to start by analyzing different examples of countries that were imposed by sanctions, then briefly outline the main events of the conflict simultaneously with the stages of imposition of sanctions from both Europe and the United States.
After the theoretical research, the author then proceeds to empirical analysis. Specifically, the World Bank Report on Russia as well as other official sources should be analyzed in order to find the differences in macro indexes before and after sanctions. In order to get reliable data the impact of sanctions and other global variable (such as oil price changes, economy recession etc.) should be distinguished.
In conclusion, a clear picture of the impact of sanctions on the Russian economy based on empirical data should be found out and evaluation of this method of pressure on the country should be done.
A sharp decline in prices on key Russian exports, increased political intensity and the introduction of sanctions restrictions by the EU and the United States led to the destabilization of the financial markets and the general unbalancing of the macroeconomic situation. There is a tendency in declining of GDP in real terms, inflation accelerated sharply and there is growth of the budget deficit.
Significantly changed the exte
al conditions of the Russian economy: limited access to exte
al financing and foreign new technology solutions, prices of oil and other commodities are projected at less than previously expected medium-term level.
But, contrary to the widespread view in the West, Russia's economy has proved to be resistant to sanctions imposed by the US and the EU, say the analytics of US bank Citigroup. Using mathematical models, they analyzed the causes of the economic difficulties in Russia and came to the conclusion that 90% of economic decline was caused by the collapse of oil prices.
According to calculations of analytics of Citigroup, every $ 10 drop in oil prices cut 0.8% of Russia's GDP. And the effect reaches maximum after about three quarters. Thus, the drop in oil prices to $ 50 corresponds to a reduction of GDP by 4% - or 90% of the decline that was actually shown. In the second quarter, according to Rosstat, the Russian economy reached 4.6% decline. In the third quarter, according to preliminary estimates by the Ministry of Economy, the decline slowed to 3.9%.
According to the forecast of analytics of Citigroup, the maximum possible decline in GDP for the year will not exceed 4.4%. A similar forecast was made in September by the Bank of Russia.
Analysts noted that Russian banks and companies are successfully coping with the repayment of exte
al debt, and in this sense the effect of the sanctions package is minimal. More dangerous, the sanctions against the oil sector, that limit the sale to Russia of technologies for extraction in...
Significantly changed the exte
al conditions of the Russian economy: limited access to exte
al financing and foreign new technology solutions, prices of oil and other commodities are projected at less than previously expected medium-term level.
But, contrary to the widespread view in the West, Russia's economy has proved to be resistant to sanctions imposed by the US and the EU, say the analytics of US bank Citigroup. Using mathematical models, they analyzed the causes of the economic difficulties in Russia and came to the conclusion that 90% of economic decline was caused by the collapse of oil prices.
According to calculations of analytics of Citigroup, every $ 10 drop in oil prices cut 0.8% of Russia's GDP. And the effect reaches maximum after about three quarters. Thus, the drop in oil prices to $ 50 corresponds to a reduction of GDP by 4% - or 90% of the decline that was actually shown. In the second quarter, according to Rosstat, the Russian economy reached 4.6% decline. In the third quarter, according to preliminary estimates by the Ministry of Economy, the decline slowed to 3.9%.
According to the forecast of analytics of Citigroup, the maximum possible decline in GDP for the year will not exceed 4.4%. A similar forecast was made in September by the Bank of Russia.
Analysts noted that Russian banks and companies are successfully coping with the repayment of exte
al debt, and in this sense the effect of the sanctions package is minimal. More dangerous, the sanctions against the oil sector, that limit the sale to Russia of technologies for extraction in...
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